Have the recent advancements in cancer therapy and survival benefitted patients of all age groups across the Nordic countries? NORDCAN survival analyses 2002-2021.

BACKGROUND: Since the early 2000s, overall and site-specific cancer survival have improved substantially in the Nordic countries. We evaluated whether the improvements have been similar across countries, major cancer types, and age groups. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Using population-based data from the five Nordic cancer registries recorded in the NORDCAN database, we included a cohort of 1,525,854 men and 1,378,470 women diagnosed with cancer (except non-melanoma skin cancer) during 2002-2021, and followed for death until 2021. We estimated 5-year relative survival (RS) in 5-year calendar periods, and percentage points (pp) differences in 5-year RS from 2002-2006 until 2017-2021. Separate analyses were performed for eight cancer sites (i.e. colorectum, pancreas, lung, breast, cervix uteri, kidney, prostate, and melanoma of skin). RESULTS: Five-year RS improved across nearly all cancer sites in all countries (except Iceland), with absolute differences across age groups ranging from 1 to 21 pp (all cancer sites), 2 to 20 pp (colorectum), -1 to 36 pp (pancreas), 2 to 28 pp (lung), 0 to 9 pp (breast), -11 to 26 pp (cervix uteri), 2 to 44 pp (kidney), -2 to 23 pp (prostate) and -3 to 30 pp (skin melanoma). The oldest patients (80-89 years) exhibited lower survival across all countries and sites, although with varying improvements over time. INTERPRETATION: Nordic cancer patients have generally experienced substantial improvements in cancer survival during the last two decades, including major cancer sites and age groups. Although survival has improved over time, older patients remain at a lower cancer survival compared to younger patients.

[Application of the Second Revision of the International Staging System (R2-ISS) in the prognostic assessment of newly diagnosed multiple myeloma].

Objective: To investigate the prognostic value of the Second Revision of the International Staging System (R2-ISS) in patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) . Methods: The retrospective study was performed in 326 NDMM patients with immunomodulatory drugs and/or proteasome inhibitors as the first-line treatment attending the Department of Hematology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China, from December 2012 to March 2022. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for the survival analysis, with the Log-rank test comparing the between-group differences and Cox proportional risk regression modeling A multifactorial analysis was performed. Results: ①326 patients were included in the study, 190 of whom were males. The median age was 63 years, and the median followup time was 37 months. R2-ISS can effectively predict prognosis, particularly for R-ISS Ⅱ patients. The median progression-free survival (PFS) time of R2-ISS Ⅰ, R2-ISS Ⅱ, R2-ISS Ⅲ, and R2-ISS Ⅳ was 52, 29, 20, and 15 months (P<0.001), while the median overall survival (OS) time was 91, 60, 44, and 36 months (P<0.001). Multifactor analysis revealed that ISS Ⅱ, ISS Ⅲ, del (17p), t (4;14), 1q+, LDH increased, and age >65 years old were independent negative prognostic factors for OS. ISS Ⅱ, ISS Ⅲ, del (17p), t (4;14), 1q+, and LDH were independent negative prognostic factors for PFS. ②The C-index score of R2-ISS was 0.724, higher than that of R-ISS (0.678), indicating high prediction efficiency. ③The median PFS for 1q+-related double-hit in R2-ISS Ⅲ and Ⅳ were 20, 15 months (P=0.084) and the median OS were 35, 36 months (P=0.786), respectively. In R2-ISS Ⅲ, there were twenty-seven cases of 1q+-related double-hit, sixty-one cases of 1q+ single abnormality, and sixty-eight cases with no 1q+. The median PFS for the three groups were 20, 18, and 21 months (P=0.974), while the median OS was 35, 47, and 56 months (P=0.042), respectively. Adjusting the assignment of 1q+ to 1, the median PFS and OS of different R2-ISS stages differed significantly after regrouping (P<0.001) . Conclusions: The prognostic stratification value of R2-ISS is higher than R-ISS, particularly in the highly heterogeneous R-ISS Ⅱ population. Adjusting the assignment of the 1q+-related double-hit can improve R2-ISS, which should be validated in future studies with multi-center and expanded cases.

Derivative survival analyses: Analysis methods to derive survival outcomes for the remainder patient cohort without individual patient data.

It is not uncommon for industry-sponsored randomized controlled trials to publish survival curves/data for the overall patient cohort("A+B") and for a favorable subgroup ("A") pre-specified or post hoc, but not the survival curves/data for the remainder cohort("B"). Consequently, following regulatory approval of the intervention treatment for the overall patient population if the primary endpoint is met, it is common for cancer patients representing the remainder cohort (B) to be treated as per the results of the overall cohort (A+B). To overcome this important issue in clinical decision-making, this study aimed to identify methods to accurately derive the survival curves and/or hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for the remainder cohort (B), utilizing published curves and hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of the overall (A+B) and favorable subgroup (A) cohorts. The analysis methods (method I and method II) presented here, termed "derivative survival analyses," enable accurate assessment of survival outcomes in the remainder cohort without individual patient data.

Survival Analysis of Patients Undergoing Intraoperative Contrast-enhanced Ultrasound in the Surgical Treatment of Malignant Glioma.

OBJECTIVE: Complete resection of malignant gliomas is often challenging. Our previous study indicated that intraoperative contrast-enhanced ultrasound (ICEUS) could aid in the detection of residual tumor remnants and the total removal of brain lesions. This study aimed to investigate the survival rates of patients undergoing resection with or without the use of ICEUS and to assess the impact of ICEUS on the prognosis of patients with malignant glioma. METHODS: A total of 64 patients diagnosed with malignant glioma (WHO grade HI and IV) who underwent surgery between 2012 and 2018 were included. Among them, 29 patients received ICEUS. The effects of ICEUS on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) of patients were evaluated. A quantitative analysis was performed to compare ICEUS parameters between gliomas and the surrounding tissues. RESULTS: The ICEUS group showed better survival rates both in OS and PFS than the control group. The univariate analysis revealed that age, pathology and ICEUS were significant prognostic factors for PFS, with only age being a significant prognostic factor for OS. In multivariate analysis, age and ICEUS were significant prognostic factors for both OS and PFS. The quantitative analysis showed that the intensity and transit time of microbubbles reaching the tumors were significantly different from those of microbubbles reaching the surrounding tissue. CONCLUSION: ICEUS facilitates the identification of residual tumors. Age and ICEUS are prognostic factors for malignant glioma surgery, and use of ICEUS offers a better prognosis for patients with malignant glioma.

Subsequent management and outcomes after first-line PARP inhibitors progression in ovarian cancer patients.

OBJECTIVES: This retrospective study aims to evaluating the subsequent management and outcomes after first-line PARPi progression in Chinese ovarian cancer population. METHODS: Clinical and pathologic variables, treatment modalities, and outcomes were assessed. We investigated the subsequent management and outcomes after first-line PARPi progression. The objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) parameters were evaluated to determine the response to subsequent chemotherapy. For the survival analyses, progression-free survival 1 (PFS1), PFS2, overall survival (OS) and PFS2 - PFS1 were analysed. RESULTS: A total of 124 patients received PARPi maintenance treatment after first-line chemotherapy during the study period in our center. 44 of them (35.5%) experienced a recurrence. The median duration of PARPi in these patients was 11.1 months (range: 1.2-75.1 months). A total of 40 patients (40/44, 90.9%) received subsequent chemotherapy with 35 (35/44, 79.5%) and 5 (5/44, 11.4%) patients received platinum-based and non-platinum-based chemotherapy in our center. 2 patients (4.5%) received target therapy and other 2 patients (4.5%) received best supportive care. 27.3% (12/44) patients received secondary cytoreduction surgery (SCS). After subsequent chemotherapy, 14 patients received PARPi retreatment as maintenance therapy. In patients who received platinum-based regimens (n = 35), 23 of 35 patients (65.7%) had complete/partial response (CR/PR), 8 of 35 (22.9%) had stable disease (SD), and 4 of 35 (12.1%) had progressive disease (PD). The ORR and DCR of patients who received subsequent chemotherapy was 65.7% and 88.6%, respectively. 15 patients (57.7%, 15/26) were reported to be platinum resistant with a platinum-free interval (PFI) of < 6 months in patients whose platinum sensitivity of the second line platinum-based regimens was evaluable. Patients who received SCS after PARPi resistant associated with a borderline better PFS2 (median PFS2: 41.9 vs. 29.2 months, P = 0.051) and a non-significantly increased PFS2-PFS1 (median PFS2-PFS1: 12.2 vs. 9.8 months, P = 0.551). Patients with a PFI ≥ 12 months had a significantly better PFS2 (median PFS2: 37.0 vs. 25.3 months, P < 0.001) and a tendency towards a better PFS2-PFS1 than those with a PFI < 12 months (median PFS2-PFS1: 11.2 vs. 8.5 months, P = 0.334). A better PFS2 was observed in patients who received second PARPi maintenance therapy (median PFS2 of 35.4 vs. 28.8 months); however, the difference was not statistically significant (P = 0.200). A better PFS2-PFS1 was observed in patients who received second PARPi maintenance therapy (median PFS2-PFS1: 13.6 vs. 8.9 months, P = 0.002) than those without. CONCLUSIONS: In summary, some degree of resistance to standard subsequent platinum and non-platinum chemotherapy is noted in the entire cohort. A trend towards higher benefit from subsequent chemotherapy after first-line PARP inhibitors progression was observed in the PFI ≥ 12 months subgroup than those with PFI < 12 months. PARPi retreatment as maintenance therapy and SCS can be offered to some patients with PARPi resistance.

[Cancer survival analysis in Tianjin, 2010 to 2016].

Objective: Survival analysis of cancers' incidence data in Tianjin from 2010 to 2016 was conducted to provide the basis for formulating and evaluating regional health policies on cancer prevention and treatment. Methods: Registration data in Tianjin were used between January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2016 and patients were followed-up till 31 December, 2021. Life-table method was used to calculate the observed survival rate and Edered Ⅱ was used to calculate the relative survival rate. The data were stratified by year, gender, age group and cancer sites. Difference in survival curves between group was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier method and Log rank test. Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the trend change. Results: The 5-year relative survival rates of cancer were 41.92% to 53.65% from 2010 to 2016 for residents in Tianjin, with an increasing trend (t=4.81, P=0.005), and the average was 48.56%. The survival rate of females was higher than that of males (57.71%vs. 39.20%), and the survival rate of urban residents was higher than that of rural residents (49.38% vs. 47.24%). The 5-year relative survival rates were 63.14%, 78.39%, 58.25% and 32.67% in 0-14, 15-44, 45-64 and 65 and above age groups, respectively. The median relative survival times of all cancer were 2.34 to 6.00 years from 2010 to 2016 in Tianjin, with an increasing trend (t=3.86, P=0.012). The average of median relative survival times was 4.11 years. The median survival time of females was longer than that of males (11.99 years vs. 2.03 years), and the time of urban residents were longer than that of rural residents (4.60 years vs. 3.43 years). The median relative survival time were 12.07, 11.92 and 1.34 years in 15-44, 45-64 and 65 and above age groups, respectively. Conclusions: The cumulative survival rate of cancer increased significantly from 2010 to 2016 in Tianjin, indicating that the prevention and treatment effect of cancer is obvious. The focus should be on male, rural areas, higher age group, and targeted prevention and treatment measures should be taken to lung, esophagus, liver, gallbladder and pancreatic cancer.

Clinicopathologic analysis of nodal T-follicular helper cell lymphomas, a multicenter retrospective study from China.

Background: Nodal T-follicular helper cell lymphomas (nTFHLs) represent a new family of peripheral T-cell lymphomas (PTCLs), and comparative studies of their constituents are rare. Methods: This study retrospectively enrolled 10 patients with nTFHL-F and 30 patients with nTFHL-NOS diagnosed between December 2017 and October 2023 at six large comprehensive tertiary hospitals; 188 patients with nTFHL-AI were diagnosed during the same period at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University for comparison. Results: Compared with nTFHL-AI, nTFHL-NOS patients exhibited better clinical manifestations, lower TFH expression levels, and a lower Ki-67 index. However, no differences in clinicopathological features were observed between nTFHL-F and nTFHL-AI patients as well as nTFHL-NOS patients. According to the survival analysis, the median OS for patients with nTFHL-NOS, nTFHL-AI, and nTFHL-F were 14.2 months, 10 months, and 5 months, respectively, whereas the median TTP were 14 months, 5 months, and 3 months, respectively. Statistical analysis revealed differences in TTP among the three subtypes(P=0.0173). Among the population of patients receiving CHOP-like induction therapy, there were significant differences in the OS and TTP among the nTFHL-NOS, nTFHL-AI, and nTFHL-F patients (P=0.0134, P=0.0205). Both the GDPT and C-PET regimens significantly improved the ORR, OS, and PFS in nTFHL patients. Conclusion: There are significant differences in the clinical manifestations, pathology, and survival outcomes among the three subtypes of nTFHLs. However, further research with a larger sample size, and involving clinical pathology and molecular genetics is needed to determine the distinctive biological characteristics of these tumors.

Identification of Novel Molecular and Clinical Biomarkers of Survival in Glioblastoma Multiforme Patients: A Study Based on The Cancer Genome Atlas Data.

Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) is the most prevalent type of brain tumour; although advancements in treatment have been made, the median survival time for GBM patients has persisted at 15 months. This study is aimed at investigating the genetic alterations and clinical features of GBM patients to find predictors of survival. GBM patients' methylation and gene expression data along with clinical information from TCGA were retrieved. The most overrepresented pathways were identified independently for each omics dataset. From the genes found in at least 30% of these pathways, one gene that was identified in both sets was further examined using the Kaplan-Meier method for survival analysis. Additionally, three groups of patients who started radio and chemotherapy at different times were identified, and the influence of these variations in treatment modality on patient survival was evaluated. Four pathways that seemed to negatively impact survival and two with the opposite effect were identified. The methylation status of PRKCB was highlighted as a potential novel biomarker for patient survival. The study also found that treatment with chemotherapy prior to radiotherapy can have a significant impact on patient survival, which could lead to improvements in clinical management and therapeutic approaches for GBM patients.

Survival analysis of Sudanese oral squamous cell carcinoma patients with field of cancerization.

BACKGROUND: The late presentation and diagnosis of OSCC account for the large number of patients with the advanced form of the disease. In Sudan, cases with delayed presentation, particularly those with risk factors such as Toombak dipping and alcohol consumption, frequently present with extensive lesions and a wide area of Field cancerization which characterized by the presence of genetic and epigenetic changes in histologically normal-appearing tissues, and have increased risk for recurrent and second primary tumors. This necessitates more aggressive treatment and is usually associated with poorer outcomes. The present study aims to investigate the survival of oral squamous cell carcinoma patients with a wide field of cancerization. METHODS: This prospective longitudinal study includes ninety-three oral cancer patients with extensive fields of cancerization who underwent surgical treatment at Khartoum Teaching Dental Hospital (KTDH) conducted from 2019 to 2023. These patients were regularly assessed for clinical changes such as recurrence, the development of second primary tumours, and overall survival over a period of one year. RESULTS: Out of the 93 patients, 57 (61.3%) were males, and 36 (38.7%) were females. The majority of the patients (82%) had stage IV tumours, and 62.3% had nodal metastasis. Twenty-eight (30%) patients developed recurrences, and 14 (15%) developed second primary tumours. The overall one-year survival rate was 89%, and all deceased patients passed away within 12 months. The survival rate for patients with different types of recurrences varied, with patients who had regional, local, and locoregional recurrences having survival rates of 87%, 74%, and 72%, respectively. Patients who did not experience a recurrence had a one-year survival rate of 92%. Patients who developed second primary tumours had an 86% survival rate. The survival rates for OSCC patients at stages III, IVa, and IVb were 90%, 90%, and 71%, respectively. CONCLUSION: In this study, 62% of patients had nodal metastasis, 30% developed recurrence, and 15% developed second primary tumours. The overall one-year survival rate was 89%, although the development of recurrences and second primary tumours had a negative impact on the survival rate.

Overall Survival with Adjuvant Pembrolizumab in Renal-Cell Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Adjuvant pembrolizumab therapy after surgery for renal-cell carcinoma was approved on the basis of a significant improvement in disease-free survival in the KEYNOTE-564 trial. Whether the results regarding overall survival from the third prespecified interim analysis of the trial would also favor pembrolizumab was uncertain. METHODS: In this phase 3, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, we randomly assigned (in a 1:1 ratio) participants with clear-cell renal-cell carcinoma who had an increased risk of recurrence after surgery to receive pembrolizumab (at a dose of 200 mg) or placebo every 3 weeks for up to 17 cycles (approximately 1 year) or until recurrence, the occurrence of unacceptable toxic effects, or withdrawal of consent. A significant improvement in disease-free survival according to investigator assessment (the primary end point) was shown previously. Overall survival was the key secondary end point. Safety was a secondary end point. RESULTS: A total of 496 participants were assigned to receive pembrolizumab and 498 to receive placebo. As of September 15, 2023, the median follow-up was 57.2 months. The disease-free survival benefit was consistent with that in previous analyses (hazard ratio for recurrence or death, 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59 to 0.87). A significant improvement in overall survival was observed with pembrolizumab as compared with placebo (hazard ratio for death, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.87; P = 0.005). The estimated overall survival at 48 months was 91.2% in the pembrolizumab group, as compared with 86.0% in the placebo group; the benefit was consistent across key subgroups. Pembrolizumab was associated with a higher incidence of serious adverse events of any cause (20.7%, vs. 11.5% with placebo) and of grade 3 or 4 adverse events related to pembrolizumab or placebo (18.6% vs. 1.2%). No deaths were attributed to pembrolizumab therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Adjuvant pembrolizumab was associated with a significant and clinically meaningful improvement in overall survival, as compared with placebo, among participants with clear-cell renal-cell carcinoma at increased risk for recurrence after surgery. (Funded by Merck Sharp and Dohme, a subsidiary of Merck; KEYNOTE-564 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03142334.).

Statistical primer: individual patient data meta-analysis and meta-analytic approaches in case of non-proportional hazards.

Individual patient data (IPD) meta-analyses build upon traditional (aggregate data) meta-analyses by collecting IPD from the individual studies rather than using aggregated summary data. Although both traditional and IPD meta-analyses produce a summary effect estimate, IPD meta-analyses allow for the analysis of data to be performed as a single dataset. This allows for standardization of exposure, outcomes, and analytic methods across individual studies. IPD meta-analyses also allow the utilization of statistical methods typically used in cohort studies, such as multivariable regression, survival analysis, propensity score matching, uniform subgroup and sensitivity analyses, better management of missing data, and incorporation of unpublished data. However, they are more time-intensive, costly, and subject to participation bias. A separate issue relates to the meta-analytic challenges when the proportional hazards assumption is violated. In these instances, alternative methods of reporting time-to-event estimates, such as restricted mean survival time should be used. This statistical primer summarizes key concepts in both scenarios and provides pertinent examples.

Prognostic analysis of hepatocellular carcinoma based on cuproptosis -associated lncRNAs.

OBJECTIVES: Cuproptosis represents an innovative type of cell death, distinct from apoptosis, driven by copper dependency, yet the involvement of copper apoptosis-associated long non-coding RNAs (CRLncRNAs) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear. This study is dedicated to unveiling the role and significance of these copper apoptosis-related lncRNAs within the context of HCC, focusing on their impact on both the development of the disease and its prognosis. METHODS: We conducted an analysis of gene transcriptomic and clinical data for HCC cases by sourcing information from The Cancer Genome Atlas database. By incorporating cuproptosis-related genes, we established prognostic features associated with cuproptosis-related lncRNAs. Furthermore, we elucidated the mechanism of cuproptosis-related lncRNAs in the prognosis and treatment of HCC through comprehensive approaches, including Lasso and Cox regression analyses, survival analyses of samples, as well as examinations of tumor mutation burden and immune function. RESULTS: We developed a prognostic model featuring six cuproptosis-related lncRNAs: AC026412.3, AC125437.1, AL353572.4, MKLN1-AS, TMCC1-AS1, and SLC6A1-AS1. This model demonstrated exceptional prognostic accuracy in both training and validation cohorts for patients with tumors, showing significantly longer survival times for those categorized in the low-risk group compared to the high-risk group. Additionally, our analyses, including tumor mutation burden, immune function, Gene Ontology, Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes pathway enrichment, and drug sensitivity, further elucidated the potential mechanisms through which cuproptosis-associated lncRNAs may influence disease outcome. CONCLUSIONS: The model developed using cuproptosis-related long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) demonstrates promising predictive capabilities for both the prognosis and immunotherapy outcomes of tumor patients. This could play a crucial role in patient management and the optimization of immunotherapeutic strategies, offering valuable insights for future research.

Amoebicidal effect of chlorine dioxide gas against pathogenic Naegleria fowleri and Acanthamoeba polyphaga.

The pathogenic free-living amoebae, Naegleria fowleri and Acanthamoeba polyphaga, are found in freshwater, soil, and unchlorinated or minimally chlorinated swimming pools. N. fowleri and A. polyphaga are becoming problematic as water leisure activities and drinking water are sources of infection. Chlorine dioxide (ClO2) gas is a potent disinfectant that is relatively harmless to humans at the concentration used for disinfection. In this study, we examined the amoebicidal effects of ClO2 gas on N. fowleri and A. polyphaga. These amoebae were exposed to ClO2 gas from a ready-to-use product (0.36 ppmv/h) for 12, 24, 36, and 48 h. Microscopic examination showed that the viability of N. fowleri and A. polyphaga was effectively inhibited by treatment with ClO2 gas in a time-dependent manner. The growth of N. fowleri and A. polyphaga exposed to ClO2 gas for 36 h was completely inhibited. In both cases, the mRNA levels of their respective actin genes were significantly reduced following treatment with ClO2 gas. ClO2 gas has an amoebicidal effect on N. fowleri and A. polyphaga. Therefore, ClO2 gas has been proposed as an effective agent for the prevention and control of pathogenic free-living amoeba contamination.

A distributed feature selection pipeline for survival analysis using radiomics in non-small cell lung cancer patients.

Predictive modelling of cancer outcomes using radiomics faces dimensionality problems and data limitations, as radiomics features often number in the hundreds, and multi-institutional data sharing is ()often unfeasible. Federated learning (FL) and feature selection (FS) techniques combined can help overcome these issues, as one provides the means of training models without exchanging sensitive data, while the other identifies the most informative features, reduces overfitting, and improves model interpretability. Our proposed FS pipeline based on FL principles targets data-driven radiomics FS in a multivariate survival study of non-small cell lung cancer patients. The pipeline was run across datasets from three institutions without patient-level data exchange. It includes two FS techniques, Correlation-based Feature Selection and LASSO regularization, and Cox Proportional-Hazard regression with Overall Survival as endpoint. Trained and validated on 828 patients overall, our pipeline yielded a radiomic signature comprising "intensity-based energy" and "mean discretised intensity". Validation resulted in a mean Harrell C-index of 0.59, showcasing fair efficacy in risk stratification. In conclusion, we suggest a distributed radiomics approach that incorporates preliminary feature selection to systematically decrease the feature set based on data-driven considerations. This aims to address dimensionality challenges beyond those associated with data constraints and interpretability concerns.

Survival analysis after stereotactic ablative radiotherapy for early stage non-small cell lung cancer: a single-institution cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) is the standard treatment for medically inoperable early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (ES-NSCLC), but which patients benefit from stereotactic radiotherapy is unclear. The aim of this study was to analyze prognostic factors for early mortality. METHODS: From August 2010 to 2022, 617 patients with medically inoperable, peripheral or central ES-NSCLC were treated with SABR at our institution. We retrospectively evaluated the data from 172 consecutive patients treated from 2018 to 2020 to analyze the prognostic factors associated with overall survival (OS). The biological effective dose was > 100 Gy10 in all patients, and 60 Gy was applied in 3-5 fractions for a gross tumor volume (GTV) + 3 mm margin when the tumor diameter was < 1 cm; 30-33 Gy was delivered in one fraction. Real-time tumor tracking or an internal target volume approach was applied in 96% and 4% of cases, respectively. In uni- and multivariate analysis, a Cox model was used for the following variables: ventilation parameter FEV1, histology, age, T stage, central vs. peripheral site, gender, pretreatment PET, biologically effective dose (BED), and age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (AACCI). RESULTS: The median OS was 35.3 months. In univariate analysis, no correlation was found between OS and ventilation parameters, histology, PET, or centrality. Tumor diameter, biological effective dose, gender, and AACCI met the criteria for inclusion in the multivariate analysis. The multivariate model showed that males (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.01-2.28; p = 0.05) and AACCI > 5 (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.06-2.31; p = 0.026) were significant negative prognostic factors of OS. However, the analysis of OS showed that the significant effect of AACCI > 5 was achieved only after 3 years (3-year OS 37% vs. 56%, p = 0.021), whereas the OS in one year was similar (1-year OS 83% vs. 86%, p = 0.58). CONCLUSION: SABR of ES-NSCLC with precise image guidance is feasible for all medically inoperable patients with reasonable performance status. Early deaths were rare in our real-life cohort, and OS is clearly higher than would have been expected after best supportive care.

A nomogram prediction model of pseudomyxoma peritonei established based on new prognostic factors of HE stained pathological images analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pseudomyxoma peritonei (PMP) is a rare clinical malignant syndrome, and its rarity causes a lack of pathology research. This study aims to quantitatively analyze HE-stained pathological images (PIs), and develop a new predictive model integrating digital pathological parameters with clinical information. METHODS: Ninety-two PMP patients with complete clinic-pathological information, were included. QuPath was used for PIs quantitative feature analysis at tissue-, cell-, and nucleus-level. The correlations between overall survival (OS) and general clinicopathological characteristics, and PIs features were analyzed. A nomogram was established based on independent prognostic factors and evaluated. RESULTS: Among the 92 PMP patients, there were 34 (37.0%) females and 58 (63.0%) males, with a median age of 57 (range: 31-76). A total of 449 HE stained images were obtained for QuPath analysis, which extracted 40 pathological parameters at three levels. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed eight clinicopathological characteristics and 20 PIs features significantly associated with OS (p < 0.05). Partial least squares regression was used to screen the multicollinearity features and synthesize four new features. Multivariate survival analysis identified the following five independent prognostic factors: preoperative CA199, completeness of cytoreduction, histopathological type, component one at tissue-level, and tumor nuclei circularity variance. A nomogram was established with internal validation C-index 0.795 and calibration plots indicating improved prediction performance. CONCLUSIONS: The quantitative analysis of HE-stained PIs could extract the new prognostic information on PMP. A nomogram established by five independent prognosticators is the first model integrating digital pathological information with clinical data for improved clinical outcome prediction.

Multidimensional penalized splines for survival models: illustration for net survival trend analyses.

BACKGROUND: In descriptive epidemiology, there are strong similarities between incidence and survival analyses. Because of the success of multidimensional penalized splines (MPSs) in incidence analysis, we propose in this pedagogical paper to show that MPSs are also very suitable for survival or net survival studies. METHODS: The use of MPSs is illustrated in cancer epidemiology in the context of survival trends studies that require specific statistical modelling. We focus on two examples (cervical and colon cancers) using survival data from the French cancer registries (cases 1990-2015). The dynamic of the excess mortality hazard according to time since diagnosis was modelled using an MPS of time since diagnosis, age at diagnosis and year of diagnosis. Multidimensional splines bring the flexibility necessary to capture any trend patterns while penalization ensures selecting only the complexities necessary to describe the data. RESULTS: For cervical cancer, the dynamic of the excess mortality hazard changed with the year of diagnosis in opposite ways according to age: this led to a net survival that improved in young women and worsened in older women. For colon cancer, regardless of age, excess mortality decreases with the year of diagnosis but this only concerns mortality at the start of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: MPSs make it possible to describe the dynamic of the mortality hazard and how this dynamic changes with the year of diagnosis, or more generally with any covariates of interest: this gives essential epidemiological insights for interpreting results. We use the R package survPen to do this type of analysis.

A Survival Analysis of Patients with Recurrent Epithelial Ovarian Cancer Based on Relapse Type: A Multi-Institutional Retrospective Study in Armenia.

BACKGROUND: Annually, approximately 200 new ovarian cancer cases are diagnosed in Armenia, which is considered an upper-middle-income country. This study aimed to summarize the survival outcomes of patients with relapsed ovarian cancer in Armenia based on the type of recurrence, risk factors, and choice of systemic treatment. METHODS: This retrospective case-control study included 228 patients with relapsed ovarian cancer from three different institutions. RESULTS: The median age of the patients was 55. The median follow-up times from relapse and primary diagnosis were 21 and 48 months, respectively. The incidence of platinum-sensitive relapse was 81.6% (186), while platinum-resistant relapse was observed in only 18.4% (42) of patients. The median post-progression survival of the platinum-sensitive group compared to the platinum-resistant group was 54 vs. 25 months (p < 0.001), respectively, while the median survival after relapse was 25 vs. 13 months, respectively; three- and five-year post-progression survival rates in these groups were 31.2% vs. 23.8%, and 15.1% vs. 9.5%, respectively (p = 0.113). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, despite new therapeutic approaches, ovarian cancer continues to be one of the deadly malignant diseases affecting women, especially in developing countries with a lack of resources, where chemotherapy remains the primary available systemic treatment for the majority of patients. Low survival rates demonstrate the urgent need for more research focused on this group of patients with poor outcomes.